Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.807110 1.966801 2.136639 2.331132 2.548212 2.783626 3.059010
2026-02-01 1.533397 1.745308 1.983688 2.273229 2.617435 3.016065 3.516320
2026-02-08 1.362299 1.601655 1.882188 2.238245 2.682378 3.223775 3.942456
2026-02-15 1.244627 1.501614 1.812906 2.222435 2.754065 3.430784 4.373685
2026-02-22 1.179291 1.455677 1.800436 2.268918 2.899700 3.735601 4.954973
2026-03-01 1.101355 1.385309 1.748227 2.254950 2.958706 3.924184 5.390290
2026-03-08 1.027745 1.313867 1.687338 2.221325 2.983562 4.062210 5.761045
2026-03-15 0.949501 1.230361 1.603479 2.147761 2.943054 4.098939 5.978315
2026-03-22 0.909072 1.194878 1.581714 2.158199 3.021996 4.314442 6.490878
2026-03-29 0.881380 1.174708 1.579052 2.194495 3.140091 4.596985 7.139919
2026-04-05 0.853273 1.151890 1.570531 2.220388 3.242658 4.862075 7.787866
2026-04-12 0.824653 1.126432 1.556151 2.235517 3.328076 5.105017 8.423421
2026-04-19 0.793175 1.095789 1.533237 2.237247 3.394253 5.325749 9.054571
2026-04-26 0.750916 1.047135 1.480700 2.188862 3.374004 5.396544 9.413499
2026-05-03 0.716240 1.007983 1.440264 2.156758 3.377754 5.508170 9.863212
2026-05-10 0.688445 0.977787 1.411812 2.141909 3.409151 5.670955 10.434624
2026-05-17 0.676484 0.971048 1.419256 2.186344 3.546893 6.041496 11.487402
2026-05-24 0.652382 0.944311 1.393546 2.173016 3.579661 6.215468 12.140920
2026-05-31 0.625855 0.912588 1.358228 2.140907 3.575266 6.315919 12.643039
2026-06-07 0.593041 0.869616 1.302756 2.070637 3.494768 6.257552 12.770526
2026-06-14 0.578553 0.855247 1.293351 2.080609 3.566210 6.513031 13.677727
2026-06-21 0.569707 0.849512 1.297809 2.115282 3.687353 6.882918 14.924297
2026-06-28 0.559395 0.840902 1.296927 2.140013 3.790570 7.224801 16.158444